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Panjiva Webinar – Global Trade Outlook for 2017

2017 Outlook 12 Alliances 49 Apparel 75 Appliances 24 Automotive 174 Canada 111 Canals 38 Carriers 169 China 619 Containerized 318 Earnings 152 Economics 441 Electronics 137 European Union 158 Finance 114 Food & Drink 105 Global 111 Industrial 7 NAFTA 156 Policy 5 Rates 56 Retail 47 Seaborne 410 Telecoms 43 Thailand 37 Toys 43 Trade Cases 236 Trade Deals 276 U.S. 1172 Vietnam 63 Weapons 14

We held a webinar on January 11 to discuss the outlook for global trade in 2017. The topics covered, which were covered in Panjiva research from December 30 through January 4, included:

2016 in Review: Last year was one of shocks (Trump, Brexit, Hanjin Shipping) and not-so-surprising surprises (falling shipping rates, struggling trade deals and lots of trade cases in steel).

Trade Deals to Track in 2017: 2016 brought a great many uncertainties to trade policy globally, 2017 should bring full or partial resolution to deals from Nafta and RCEP to Brexit and the SLA.

Shipping Industry Questions to Answer in 2017: The shipping industry may have a better year in 2017. Corporates have responded to weak rates with corporate deals, though these face regulatory risks and will need continued discipline on capital spending and scrapping to be a success.

Trade Sensitive Industries to Watch in 2017: Global supply chains face further upheaval in 2017. Autos, toys, consumer electronics and agriculture all face tariff and nontariff threats. Non-trade policies may also impact trade in renewable energy equipment and weapons, while technology may (finally) make a big difference to apparel.

The Q&A session covered border adjustment tax, potential new trade cases to be launched, ‘black swan’ risks and the prospects for a U.S./U.K. deal.

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